Reprimarização da pauta de exportações brasileira: uma análise da influência da China

Abstract

It is known as reprimarization of the exporting agenda exports to the process of specialization in trading primary or non-industrial goods. This tends to be a feature of economies that have not yet reached industrial development or are not competitive internationally in competition between these products. There are signs that perhaps Brazil's exporting agenda, despite all the effort of industrialization made over its history, is undergoing to a process of reprimarization. The general objective of this research is to analyze if there is a tendency of reprimarization in the Brazilian export agenda in the period of 2001-2016. And if this trend continues with the repercussions of the sub-prime crisis of 2008 since this could have implications of dependence with trading partners as a recovery mechanism. This research utilizes a quantitative approach research that uses bibliographic and documentary research techniques and secondary databases. The analysis will be realised with descriptive statistics and by the triangulation between these results and the results obtained by similar researches already published. The results found were an increase in the exports of primary products in the period observed, and a reduction in the volume of exports of manufactured products, presenting a tendency of reprimarization in the export agenda. In conjunction with this, was observed a significant increase in volume exported to the Chinese market. Finally, it was noted that the 2008 crisis did not have an impact on this trend, but China can be seen as a mean of recovery in the post-crisis recession period due to the volume of exports rising even in periods of recession.