Influência do aquecimento global antropogênico sobre a temperatura noturna: uma abordagem teórica

Abstract

In this work it is analyzed the variation of the atmospheric temperature near the surface associated with anthropogenic effects, by using a simplified atmospheric model. In the analyzes are used local changes in cloud cover and four different scenarios of atmospheric concentration of carbon dioxide. The results show that the highest variability in temperature occur in the disconnected state and in the transition region between the flow regimes. In agreement with previous efforts, the results indicate that the reduction of diurnal temperature range (DTR) is related to the atmospheric bi-stability, which is a characteristic of the stable boundary layer. However, in the disconnected state, the presence of intermittent burts of turbulence may make temperature variations between the different scenarios unpredictable. Which may imply that it should be hard to predict the behavior of the VDT in regions characterized by the presence of weak winds.