Cenários para a comercialização do arroz na fronteira oeste do Rio Grande do Sul

Abstract

Rice is one of the most produced and consumed cereals in the world. It is the main food for more than half of the world's population (IRGA, 2017). Brazil has always stood out for being a great rice producer. Rio Grande do Sul is responsible for 72% of almost all Brazilian production, with almost 950 thousand hectares of sown area and higher productivity of 9.010 kg/hectare in 2020/2021. In this context, the western border of Rio Grande do Sul stands out in rice production. Firstly, we tried to make a brief contextualization of rice farming in Rio Grande do Sul and after that, three scenarios were proposed: in the first, the farmer sells all his production in May; in the second, it sells 60% in May, 30% in October and 10% in December and in the third, half in October and the other half in December. Through data provided by the IRGA, three returns were calculated over the years. Starting in the 2011/2012 crop until 2020/2021. According to the variables analyzed, it can be seen, in most of the years verified, that the best scenario for selling rice to the farmer is when he can wait to sell his bags at the end of the year. According to the methodology applied, the producer obtains greater profitability when he sells 50% of his rice production in October and 50% in December.