Avaliação bioeconômica de diferentes modelos de produção agropecuária no Município de Dom Pedrito: uma simulação

Abstract

The agricultural production systems currently present major interconnections with each other, either by rotation between cultures or the use of processes involving labor and procurement of inputs that are used in the same production level. Existing production scenarios in Rio Grande do Sul state are characterized by being primarily agricultural, with the exploration of grains and cereals, and livestock, with the farm animals in pastoral systems basically, being cultivated in winter and summer pastures or native pasture where most of the production takes place. With this current diversification among productive demand for labor specific to each process has grown along to that the use of outsourced services, especially in the aspect of operations with machinery for the cultivation and maintenance of production systems. With the interconnection between systems, and the diversification of productive characteristics, the economic control of the activities has great importance for better decision-making within each scenario. Ally the productivist and economic characteristics, the use of simulation scenarios presents itself as a very useful technology to assist in the choice of the production system process to be used. Thus the aim of this study was to simulate by using different spreadsheet models of production, characterized by Soyben cultive (SOJ), Crop-Livestock Integration (ILP) and Field Natural Enhanced (CNM). The simulations were performed with the input values and current services in Dom Pedrito -RS in June, as the price of live cattle and soybean sack. As economic output per hectare the ILP production model stood out, with gross profit of RS 335.72 / hectare, followed by the CNM and SOJ scenarios, with results of R $ 87.50 and R$ 79.30 per hectare. As evaluation criterion for each scenario you can use risk analysis of the simulated production activities, which through this has a greater perspective of which scenario has the highest security to be used in relation to investment and return them